Tuesday 30 June 2009

Bad Beats and Suck Outs Cont

We explored yesterday bad beats and suck outs, please read yesterday's article if you missed this. I finished with this statement:

Remember just because you start with AA, KK. AK what ever it does not mean you will automatically win. Another point to remember is what cards have been folded, if you have 10 10 and two tens have been folded your not getting another 10, if somebody has 3 7 suited for example, and nobody else had that suite or a 3 or 7 surely the odds of hitting increase, common sense says they do.

All good poker players know what odds they are getting before committing their chips to any pot, but even these players will gamble occasionally, depending on what they think another player may be holding, their position on the table, whether they are pot committed, risk against reward. Then you have players, most people will call them bad players, fish or worse, but there are also millions of people playing poker without a basic understanding of the game, they are actually just playing for fun, they are only looking at their hand, they don't have a clue there are only two cards in the pack which can help them, they just put their chips in and yes occasionally they are going to get lucky and hit.

Think on this for a moment, their are millions of online poker players of which only 4% make a profit, do you think this 4% are poor poker players or poker players who are solid ?

I touched yesterday on the belief that due to the large amount of information available today most reasonable players are playing beneath themselves, which is why they believe online poker sites are fixed as they see so many suck outs or bad beats by what they judge bad play based on their knowledge of the game. Lets think about this, I myself used to play with a very small bank roll so in the beginning would enter 1 or 2 dollar tourneys or 1 cent 2 cent cash. Now this is entry level. so it is reasonable to expect you are playing entry level players. At this level you are going to get players who will push with anything, because they do not fully understand the game, they are learning and yes they get lucky, but do you really think these are the 4% who make a profit at online poker ? I found rather than playing 10 $1.00 dollar tourneys I enter just 1 $10.00 tourney, the fields were smaller and the play better, yes you still got bad beats and suck outs, but the all round excepted standard of play was improved with less snap players. Yes sometimes I would be knocked out early and think if I had entered smaller buy in's I could play another game, but this is where you have to decide whether you want to play poker for fun or to actually try to win.

Please do not for one minute deposit funds into a poker account to enter games that you can not afford or that are above your level, but just remember the standard tends to increase with the buy in.

The exception to this will be with tournaments which offer satellite seats. I have entered $100 tourneys only to see the same play as at $1.00 dollar tables because a majority of the entrants had won their seats through cheap buy in satellites.

My advice to anybody serious about poker is to seriously think about the game you want to enter; Take into consideration what size field you want to play in, who will you be playing against in this tournament, has there been satellite seats. Once you have found the game you want to play, watch the table, make a note of the hands you fold, you will see lots of times where you would have sucked somebody out if you had stayed in the hand. Remember we raise with big hands to reduce the numbers in the pot, AA the best starting hand in poker diminishes in straight the more people who are in the pot.

To finish today I would first recommend, if you haven't already got one, you get an odds calculator.

A search of google will display several odds calculators which can be downloaded for free. Use the calculator and you will find ta majority of what people class as bad beats aren't really that bad.


Good luck at the tables and remember only you can improve your game.

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