Monday 13 July 2009

A Test of Hands

Here are two hands somebody recently moaned about, citing these as examples why they thought online poker was fixed:
I raised with 99, flopped a set and lost to a flush. A few hands later, I raised with QQ, flopped a set and lost to a flush.
So lets explore the first hand, it was in a heads up situation only two players left in pre-flop.
Pre-flop 99 = 53.33% , QK Suited (diamonds) = 46.2% , Tie = 0.46%
Flop = 9d, 3d, 5s 99 = 76.4%, QK Suited = 23.6%
Turn = 10D , 99 = 24.9% , QK Suited = 75.10%
If you look at this, 99 was only a just over a 50% favourite before the flop, he floped a set, which put him up to a 76% favourite, but with only needing one more diamond now to get his flush, QK only still had pot odds of 4 to 1 to hit the flush. After the turn, the odds on each hand reversed, but 99 still had a 4 to 1 chance of hitting 4 of a kind of a full house.
I am putting a link below which will take you to a free poker calculator where you can play around with hands and see your hole card starting odds, and then how they change with the flop and river.

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